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← 返回速读报告 Drizzle Digest · NO.212 · 全文

The Palantirization of Everything

频道: a16z
原文: https://a16z.com/the-palantirization-of-everything/
原文语言: en
统计: 共 32 轮


[¶1]

There’s a new aspiration in startup pitch decks: “We’re basically Palantir, but for X.”

Founders talk about embedding forward-deployed engineers (FDEs) with customers, building deeply customized workflows, and operating more like a special-forces unit than a traditional software company. Job postings for “forward-deployed engineers” are up hundreds of percent this year as companies copy the model that Palantir pioneered in the early 2010s.

I get why this is attractive. Enterprises are feeling seriously overwhelmed when considering which technology products they should buy off the shelf; everything now markets itself as AI, and it’s never been harder to parse signal from noise. The Palantir pitch — parachute a small team into a messy environment, wire together homegrown, siloed systems, and ship a customized working platform in months — is compelling. And for a startup trying to win its first seven-figure deals, “we’ll send engineers to sit inside your org and make this work” is a powerful promise.

创业公司的融资路演材料里出现了一种新的志向:“我们基本上就是 X 领域的 Palantir。”

创始人们谈论的是:把前置部署工程师(FDE)嵌入客户内部,构建深度定制的工作流,让公司的运作方式更像一支特种部队,而不是一家传统软件公司。随着各家公司纷纷效仿 Palantir 在 2010 年代初开创的这一模式,今年“前置部署工程师”的招聘职位数量增长了百分之几百。

我理解这为什么有吸引力。企业在考虑该直接采购哪些现成的技术产品时,正感到严重的无所适从;如今所有产品都打着 AI 的旗号做营销,从噪音中分辨出有效信号从未像现在这样困难。Palantir 的那套主张——把一支小团队空降到混乱的环境中,打通各自为政的自研系统,在几个月内交付一个真正能用的定制化平台——很有说服力。而对于一家想拿下最初几笔七位数订单的创业公司来说,“我们会派工程师常驻贵公司,把这件事做成”是一个极有分量的承诺。


[¶2]

But I’m skeptical that “Palantirization” scales as a universal playbook. Palantir is a “category of one” (just look at how it trades!), and most companies copying the aesthetic are setting themselves up to become expensive services businesses with a software valuation multiple and no compounding competitive advantage. It kind of reminds me of how every startup pitched itself as a “platform” in the 2010s, when there are in fact very few true platform companies due to how difficult they are to build!

This post is an attempt to separate what’s actually portable in the Palantir model from what’s idiosyncratic — and to offer a more pragmatic blueprint for founders looking to pair enterprise software with high-touch delivery.

但我怀疑“Palantir 化”能否作为一套普适的打法规模化推广。Palantir 是“自成一类”的存在(看看它在资本市场上的估值就知道了!),而大多数模仿其外在风格的公司,正在把自己变成一门昂贵的服务生意——顶着软件公司的估值倍数,却没有能够复利累积的竞争优势。这有点让我想起 2010 年代,每家创业公司都把自己包装成“平台”,而事实上,由于平台极难打造,真正的平台型公司寥寥无几!

本文试图厘清 Palantir 模式中哪些东西真正可以移植、哪些只是它独有的特质——并为那些希望把企业软件与高接触式交付结合起来的创始人,提供一份更务实的蓝图。


[¶3]

What “Palantirization” Actually Means

“Palantirization” has started to mean a few related things:

Forward-deployed, embedded engineering Forward-deployed engineers (“Deltas” and “Echoes” in Palantir’s internal jargon) sit inside the customer’s organization (often for months), to understand domain context, stitch systems together, and ship custom workflows on top of Foundry (or Gotham in higher-security situations). Since pricing is fixed fee, there are no “SKUs” in a traditional sense. Engineers are responsible for building and maintaining those capabilities.

Highly opinionated, integrated platform Under the hood, Palantir’s products are not a toolkit of loose components. They’re opinionated platforms for data integration, governance, and operational analytics — closer to an operating system for an organization’s data. The stated goal is to convert fragmented data into real-time, high confidence decisions.

“Palantir 化”究竟意味着什么

“Palantir 化”已开始指代几件彼此相关的事情:

前置部署、嵌入式工程:前置部署工程师(Palantir 内部行话称为“Delta”和“Echo”)常驻客户组织内部(往往一待就是几个月),去理解领域背景、把各个系统缝合起来,并在 Foundry(安全级别更高的场景下则是 Gotham)之上交付定制化工作流。由于采用固定费用定价,这里并不存在传统意义上的“SKU”。这些能力由工程师负责构建和维护。

高度有主见(opinionated)的一体化平台:从底层看,Palantir 的产品并不是一套由松散组件拼凑而成的工具包,而是面向数据集成、数据治理和运营分析的有主见的平台——更接近于一个组织的数据操作系统。其公开宣称的目标,是把碎片化的数据转化为实时、高置信度的决策。


[¶4]

Upmarket, high-touch GTM “Palantirization” also describes a go-to-market style: long, high-touch sales cycles into mission-critical environments (e.g. defense, policing, intelligence). Regulatory complexity and the magnitude of the “stakes” in the industry are features, not bugs.

Outcomes, not licenses Revenue is driven by multi-year, outcome-aligned contracts where software, services, and ongoing optimization blend together. Engagements can be worth tens of millions of dollars per year.

A recent analysis of Palantir framed it as a “category of one” because it simultaneously excels at: (a) building integrated product platforms, (b) embedding elite engineers in customer operations, and (c) proving itself in mission-critical government and defense environments. Most companies can manage one of these, maybe two — not all three at once.

面向大客户、高接触式的 GTM:“Palantir 化”也用来描述一种市场进入(go-to-market)打法——面向关键任务型场景(如国防、警务、情报),走漫长且高接触的销售周期。在这些行业里,监管的复杂性和“利害关系”之重大,是特性,而不是缺陷。

卖成果,而非卖许可证:收入来自与成果挂钩的多年期合同,软件、服务与持续优化融为一体。单个合作项目每年的价值可达数千万美元。

近期一份针对 Palantir 的分析将其定性为“自成一类”,因为它同时在以下三方面出类拔萃:(a)打造一体化的产品平台;(b)把精英工程师嵌入客户的业务运营;(c)在关键任务型的政府与国防环境中证明自己。大多数公司能做好其中一项,或许两项——但无法三项兼得。


[¶5]

Yet in 2025, everyone wants to borrow the brand halo of this model.

然而在 2025 年,人人都想借用这一模式的品牌光环。


[¶6]

Why Everyone Wants to Copy Palantir Right Now

Three big forces are converging:

为什么现在人人都想模仿 Palantir

三股强大的力量正在汇聚:


[¶7]

So the narrative becomes: “We’ll do what Palantir did. We’ll send a small elite team, build something magical, and turn that into a platform over time.”

于是,叙事就变成了:“我们要做 Palantir 做过的事。我们会派出一支精锐小团队,做出令人惊艳的东西,再随着时间推移把它变成一个平台。”


[¶8]

That story can be true in very specific circumstances. But there are some hard constraints founders often gloss over.

在非常特定的情形下,这个故事可能成立。但其中有一些硬性约束,常常被创始人轻描淡写地一笔带过。


[¶9]

Where the Analogy Breaks

这个类比在哪里失效


[¶10]

Trying to Sell Outcomes from Day 1

Palantir’s flagship product, Foundry, is a combination of 100s of microservices that get put to work towards an outcome. These services constitute productized + opinionated approaches to problems commonly experienced across enterprises in each domain. Having now met hundreds of AI apps founders over the past two years, I can tell you where the analogy in their pitch breaks: startups come in and pitch a bunch of lofty outcome-based goals, whereas Palantir built intentional microservices that form the bedrock of their core capabilities. These are what separate Palantir from regular consulting firms (and contribute to it trading at 77x next year’s revenue).

从第一天起就想卖成果

Palantir 的旗舰产品 Foundry 由数百个微服务组合而成,这些微服务被调动起来,共同服务于某个成果。它们构成了一套产品化 + 有主见的方法,用于应对各个领域中企业普遍会遇到的问题。过去两年里,我已经见过数百位 AI 应用创始人,因此可以告诉你,他们路演中的类比在哪里站不住脚:创业公司一上来就抛出一堆基于成果的宏大目标,而 Palantir 则是有意识地构建了一批微服务,作为其核心能力的基石。正是这些微服务把 Palantir 与普通咨询公司区分开来(也是它的估值能达到明年营收 77 倍的原因之一)。


[¶11]

Palantir Gotham is a defense and intelligence platform that helps military, intelligence, and law enforcement agencies integrate and analyze disparate data for mission planning and investigations.

Palantir Apollo is a software deployment and management platform that autonomously and securely delivers updates and new features to any environment, including multi-cloud, on-premises, and disconnected systems.

Palantir Foundry is a cross-industry data operations platform that integrates data, models, and analytics to power operational decision-making across an enterprise.

Palantir Ontology is the dynamic, actionable digital model of an organization’s real-world entities, relationships, and logic that powers applications and decision-making within Foundry.

Palantir Gotham 是一个国防与情报平台,帮助军队、情报机构和执法机构整合并分析分散各处的数据,用于任务规划与调查。

Palantir Apollo 是一个软件部署与管理平台,能够自主、安全地向任何环境交付更新和新功能,包括多云、本地部署以及断网隔离的系统。

Palantir Foundry 是一个跨行业的数据运营平台,它整合数据、模型与分析,为整个企业的运营决策提供支撑。

Palantir 本体(Ontology)是一个动态、可驱动行动的数字模型,刻画组织在现实世界中的实体、关系与逻辑,为 Foundry 内的应用与决策提供支撑。


[¶12]

Palantir AIP (Artificial Intelligence Platform) connects AI models, like Large Language Models (LLMs), with an organization’s data and operations via the Ontology to create production-ready AI-powered workflows and agents.

To quote the recent Everest report again: “Palantir’s contracts start small. A first engagement might cover a short bootcamp and limited licenses. If value is proven, additional use cases, workflows, and data domains are layered in. Over time, the revenue mix tilts toward software subscription rather than services. Unlike consulting firms, services are a means to drive product adoption, not the primary revenue stream. Unlike most software vendors, Palantir is willing to fund its own engineering time upfront to land a meaningful customer.”

Palantir AIP(Artificial Intelligence Platform,人工智能平台)通过本体,把大语言模型(LLM)等 AI 模型与组织的数据和业务运营连接起来,从而打造可投入生产的 AI 驱动工作流与智能体(agent)。

再次引用近期那份 Everest 报告:“Palantir 的合同从小规模起步。首次合作可能只包含一次短期训练营(bootcamp)和有限的许可证。一旦价值得到验证,更多的用例、工作流和数据域就会逐层叠加进来。随着时间推移,收入结构会向软件订阅而非服务倾斜。与咨询公司不同,服务是推动产品采用的手段,而不是主要的收入来源。与大多数软件厂商不同,Palantir 愿意预先自掏腰包投入工程人力,以拿下一个有分量的客户。”


[¶13]

On the one hand, AI apps companies I’m seeing today are often able to skip straight to seven-figure contracts. But on the other, that is largely because they are in full fledged customization mode – they’re tackling whichever problems their early customers surface, and hoping they uncover themes on which to build core capabilities or “SKUs” later on.

一方面,我如今接触到的 AI 应用公司往往能够一步到位拿下七位数的合同。但另一方面,这在很大程度上是因为它们正处于全面定制化的模式——早期客户提出什么问题,它们就解决什么问题,并寄希望于从中发现共性主题,日后再据此构建核心能力或“SKU”。


[¶14]

Not every problem is a “Palantir-grade” problem

Palantir’s early deployments were in domains where the alternative was “nothing works”: counterterrorism, fraud detection, battlefield logistics, high-stakes healthcare operations. The value of solving the problem was measured in billions of dollars, number of human lives saved, or geopolitical outcomes, not incremental efficiency.

If you’re selling to a mid-market SaaS company to optimize sales workflows by 8%, you can’t afford the same level of bespoke deployment. The ROI envelope simply doesn’t justify months of on-site engineering.

并非每个问题都是“Palantir 级”的问题

Palantir 早期的部署集中在那些“别的办法全都行不通”的领域:反恐、欺诈检测、战场后勤、高风险的医疗运营。解决这些问题的价值,是以数十亿美元、挽救的生命数量或地缘政治结果来衡量的,而不是渐进式的效率提升。

如果你是向一家中型市场的 SaaS 公司销售产品,帮它把销售工作流优化 8%,那你就负担不起同等程度的定制化部署。这样的 ROI 空间,根本不足以支撑长达数月的驻场工程投入。


[¶15]

Most customers don’t want to be your R&D lab forever

Palantir’s customers implicitly sign up to co-evolve the product with them; they tolerate a lot because the stakes are high and alternatives are limited.

Most enterprises, particularly outside of defense and regulated sectors, do not want to feel like a long-running consulting project. They want predictable implementations, interoperability with existing software tools, and fast time-to-value.

大多数客户并不想永远充当你的研发实验室

Palantir 的客户实际上是心照不宣地同意与 Palantir 共同演进产品;他们之所以能容忍很多问题,是因为事关重大,而替代选项又十分有限。

大多数企业,尤其是国防和受监管行业以外的企业,并不希望感觉自己陷入了一个旷日持久的咨询项目。他们想要的是可预期的实施过程、与现有软件工具的互操作性,以及快速实现价值(time-to-value)。


[¶16]

Talent density and culture don’t generalize

Palantir has spent over a decade recruiting and training unusually strong generalist engineers who are comfortable writing production code, navigating bureaucracies, and sitting in rooms with colonels, CIOs, and regulators. Turnover from that role has produced an entire “Palantir mafia” of founders and operators. Many of these people are unicorns in that they are both highly technical and highly effective with customers.

Most startups cannot assume they’ll hire hundreds of people wired this way. In practice, “we’ll build a Palantir-style FDE team” often degrades into:

人才密度与文化无法普遍复制

Palantir 花了十多年时间,招募并培养了一批异常出色的通才型工程师:无论是编写生产代码、应对官僚体系,还是与上校、CIO 和监管者共处一室,他们都能从容自如。从这一岗位离开的人,形成了一整个由创始人和运营高管组成的“Palantir 黑帮”。其中许多人堪称“独角兽”,因为他们既具备很强的技术能力,又极其擅长与客户打交道。

大多数创业公司不能指望自己招到数百个具备这种特质的人。现实中,“我们要组建一支 Palantir 式的 FDE 团队”往往会退化为:


[¶17]

To be clear, there is an immense ocean of extremely talented individuals out there, and the ability to ship code is being democratized to formerly non-technical employees with tools like our portfolio company Cursor. But to nail the Palantir motion at scale requires an exceptionally rare blend of business and technical talent, and it really helps to have actually been there given it is such a unique company. But that n is limited!

需要说明的是,世界上有浩如烟海的杰出人才,而且借助我们的被投公司 Cursor 这类工具,交付代码的能力正在向以往不懂技术的员工普及。但要规模化地把 Palantir 这套打法做到位,需要商业与技术才能极为罕见的结合;而鉴于 Palantir 是一家如此独特的公司,真正在那里干过会大有帮助。可这个 n 终究是有限的!


[¶18]

The services trap is real

Palantir works because there is a real platform underneath the bespoke work. Thoughtful observers point out that if you only copy the embedded-engineer part, you end up with thousands of bespoke deployments that are impossible to maintain or upgrade. Even in a world in which AI tooling allows companies to achieve software-caliber gross margins in this model, the ones that over-rotate into forward deployment without a strong product spine may fail to generate increasing returns to scale and durable moats. The undiscerning investor may see hockey stick growth from 0 to $10M in contract value with large enterprise deals and clamor to get involved. But the question I keep asking is what happens when dozens (or even hundreds) of these $10M startups start to bump into each other with the exact same pitch?

服务陷阱真实存在

Palantir 之所以行得通,是因为在定制化工作之下有一个真正的平台作为支撑。有见地的观察者指出,如果你只照搬嵌入式工程师这一部分,最终只会得到成千上万个既无法维护、也无法升级的定制化部署。即便在 AI 工具能让公司在这种模式下实现软件级毛利率的世界里,那些过度偏向前置部署、却缺乏强大产品主干的公司,也可能无法形成规模报酬递增和持久的护城河。缺乏辨别力的投资人或许会看到这些公司靠大型企业订单,让合同金额从 0 曲棍球棒式地增长到 1000 万美元,于是争先恐后地想要入局。但我一直在追问的是:当几十家(甚至上百家)这样的千万美元级创业公司,带着一模一样的路演说辞开始彼此撞车时,会发生什么?


[¶19]

At that point, you aren’t “Palantir for X.” You’re “Accenture for X” with a nicer front-end.

到那时,你就不再是“X 领域的 Palantir”,而是一个前端更漂亮的“X 领域的 Accenture”。


[¶20]

What Palantir Actually Did Differently

If you strip away the mythology, there are a few elements worth studying carefully:

Palantir 究竟做了哪些不一样的事

如果剥去那层神话色彩,有几个要素值得仔细研究:


[¶21]

In other words, Palantir is not just “software company + consulting.” It’s “software company + consulting + political project + extremely patient capital.”

That’s not something you casually bolt onto a vertical SaaS product and expect it to generalize.

换句话说,Palantir 不只是“软件公司 + 咨询”,而是“软件公司 + 咨询 + 政治事业 + 极具耐心的资本”。

这绝非随手嫁接到某个垂直 SaaS 产品上,就能指望其普遍适用的东西。


[¶22]

A More Realistic Framework: When Does “Palantirization” Make Sense?

Instead of asking “How do we be like Palantir?” it’s more useful to ask a series of gating questions:

一个更现实的框架:什么时候“Palantir 化”才说得通?

与其问“我们怎样才能像 Palantir 一样?”,不如先问一系列门槛性问题:


[¶23]

If you’re mostly in the bottom-left corner of these dimensions (low criticality, fragmented customers, relatively simple integration), a full “Palantirization” is almost certainly the wrong model. Those circumstances constitute a perfect setup for more of a bottoms-up, PLG motion.

如果你在这些维度上大多落在左下角(关键程度低、客户分散、集成相对简单),那么全面“Palantir 化”几乎肯定是错误的模式。这类情形恰恰为更偏向自下而上的 PLG 路线提供了绝佳条件。


[¶24]

What Is Worth Copying

Despite my skepticism that every early stage company can successfully deploy the Palantir model, there are pieces of the playbook that are worth considering.

哪些值得效仿

尽管我并不认为每家早期公司都能成功套用 Palantir 模式,但这套打法中仍有一些部分值得考虑。


[¶25]

1. Treat forward deployment as scaffolding, not the house

It can be absolutely correct to:

But this needs explicit constraints:

Otherwise, “we’ll productize later” becomes “we never quite got around to it.”

1. 把前置部署当作脚手架,而不是房子本身

以下做法完全可能是正确的:

但这需要明确的约束:

否则,“我们以后再做产品化”就会变成“我们一直没腾出手来”。


[¶26]

2. Build on strong primitives, not custom workflows

The real lesson from Palantir is about product architecture:

Forward-deployed teams should spend their time choosing and validating which primitives to assemble — not building net-new ones for each customer. Leave the net-new builds to the engineers.

2. 基于强大的原语构建,而非定制工作流

Palantir 真正的启示在于产品架构:

前置部署团队应当把时间花在挑选和验证要组装哪些原语上——而不是为每个客户从零打造新原语。从零构建的工作,留给工程师去做。


[¶27]

3. Make FDEs part of product, not just delivery

In the Palantir world, forward-deployed engineers are deeply involved in product discovery and iteration, not only implementation. Strong product orgs and platform teams feed on what FDEs learn at the front lines.

If your FDEs sit in a separate “professional services” unit, you lose that feedback loop and drift toward a pure services business.

3. 让 FDE 成为产品的一部分,而不只是交付的一部分

在 Palantir 的体系中,前置部署工程师不仅负责实施,还深度参与产品发现与迭代。强大的产品组织和平台团队,正是以 FDE 在一线学到的东西为养分。

如果你的 FDE 被放在一个独立的“专业服务”部门里,你就会失去这条反馈回路,逐渐滑向纯服务型业务。


[¶28]

4. Be honest about your margin structure

If your pitch presumes 80%+ software gross margins and 150% net dollar retention, but your go-to-market model actually requires long on-site projects, be transparent — at least internally — about the tradeoffs.

For some categories, a structurally lower-margin, higher-ACV model is entirely rational. The problem is pretending you’re SaaS when you’re really services with a platform. Investors are typically looking for the path to the most gross profit dollars possible, and one way to achieve that is orders of magnitude larger contracts with more significant COGS.

4. 坦诚面对你的利润率结构

如果你的融资推介预设了 80% 以上的软件毛利率和 150% 的净收入留存率,而你的市场进入模式实际上需要长周期的驻场项目,那就要对其中的取舍保持透明——至少在内部如此。

对某些品类而言,结构性低毛利、高 ACV 的模式完全合乎理性。问题在于,明明本质上是带平台的服务业务,却假装自己是 SaaS。投资人通常寻求的是能获得尽可能多毛利润绝对额的路径,而实现这一点的方式之一,就是签下金额大出几个数量级、销售成本(COGS)也显著更高的合同。


[¶29]

How I’d Pressure-Test a “Palantirized” Startup

When I meet a founder who says “we’re like Palantir for X,” the questions in my notebook look something like:

我会如何对一家“Palantir 化”的初创公司做压力测试

当我遇到一位说“我们就像是 X 领域的 Palantir”的创始人时,我笔记本上的问题大致是这样的:


[¶30]

If those answers are crisp, grounded in real deployments, and architecturally coherent, then some amount of Palantir-style forward deployment might be a genuine advantage.

If the answers are hand-wavy or it’s clear that every engagement to date has been entirely unique, it’s very difficult for us to underwrite repeatability or the potential for true scale.

如果这些回答清晰利落、有真实部署作支撑、在架构上前后自洽,那么一定程度的 Palantir 式前置部署或许确实能成为真正的优势。

如果回答含糊其辞,或者明摆着迄今为止每个项目都完全独一无二,我们就很难为其可复制性或真正规模化的潜力下注。


[¶31]

The Takeaway

Palantir’s success has created a powerful aura dominating the venture-backed entrepreneurial zeitgeist: small teams of elite engineers parachuting into complex environments, wiring up chaotic data, and shipping systems that change how organizations make decisions.

It’s tempting to believe every AI or data startup should look like this. But for most categories, full-blown “Palantirization” is a treacherous fantasy:

The more useful question for founders isn’t “How do we become Palantir?” It’s:

核心结论

Palantir 的成功营造出一种强大的光环,主导着风投支持下的创业思潮:一小队精英工程师空降到复杂环境中,打通混乱的数据,交付足以改变组织决策方式的系统。

人们很容易认为,每家 AI 或数据初创公司都应当是这个样子。但对大多数品类而言,彻头彻尾的“Palantir 化”是一个危险的幻想:

对创始人来说,更有用的问题不是“我们如何成为 Palantir?”,而是:


[¶32]

What is the minimum amount of Palantir-style forward deployment we need to bridge the AI adoption gap for our category — and how quickly can we convert that into a true platform business?

Get that right, and you can borrow the parts of the playbook that matter, without inheriting the parts that will break you.

为弥合我们所在品类的 AI 落地鸿沟,我们最少需要多少 Palantir 式的前置部署——以及,我们能以多快的速度把它转化为真正的平台型业务?

把这个问题答对,你就能借鉴这套打法中真正要紧的部分,而不必继承那些会拖垮你的部分。